Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 43.25%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.48%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.