Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 34.84%. A win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 (13.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.