Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.