Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.