Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.