Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.