Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 42.71%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 27.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.