Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.07%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.