Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 44.47%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.