Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.67%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.