Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.28%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.