Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.