Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.