Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Estudiantes
39.62% ( 0.33)	28.9% ( -0.09)	31.48% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 44.58% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.08% (

0.24)

61.92% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.32% (

0.18)

81.68% (

-0.18)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

0.32)

30.49% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

0.37)

66.71% (

-0.37)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13% (

-0.05)

35.87% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36% (

-0.05)

72.64% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 39.61%

Estudiantes 31.47%

Draw 28.89%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 12.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 39.61%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.89%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 31.47%