Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.