Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 35.67%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 2-1 (7%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (13.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%).