Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 44.54%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.57%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.