Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 40.73%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 29.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.