Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36%. A draw had a probability of 33.5% and a win for Platense had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.42%) and 1-2 (6.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.52%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (14.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.