Jan 24, 2025 10.15pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Libertadores de America

Gabriel Avalos 15'
Gabriel Avalos 48'
Luciano Cabral 71'

Tomas Guiacobini 34'
Renzo Orihuela 39'
Joaquin Gho 50'
Manu Garcia 65'
Pablo Magnin 77'
Federico Paradela 88'

Independiente vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

D
W
W
L
W
L

Argentine Primera Division

D
W
W
L
W
L

Last game

Dec 14, 2024 10.15pm

Boca Juniors 0 - 0 Independiente

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Gabriel Avalos

Sarmiento

All competitions

D
D
L
W
L
L

Argentine Primera Division

D
D
L
W
L
L

Last game

Dec 14, 2024 12.15am

Banfield 1 - 1 Sarmiento

Goals scored

22

Top scorer

Pablo Magnin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.06%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 56.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 27.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Sarmiento 16.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

35% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 33.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 66.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 14.93% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 85.07% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 4.5 5.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 94.41% ▲ (+0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 75.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 24.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 41.33% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 58.67% ▲ (+0.03)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 46.23% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 53.77% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 12.87% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 87.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Independiente 56.37%

Draw 27.3%

Sarmiento 16.31%

Independiente

1-0 @ 18.48% ▲ (+0.02)

2-0 @ 13.07%

2-1 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)

4-0 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 1.99%

Total : 56.37%

Draw

0-0 @ 13.06% ▲ (+0.03)

1-1 @ 11.46%

2-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.26%

Total : 27.3%

Sarmiento

0-1 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.01)

1-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.14%

Total : 16.31%

Head to Head

Oct 31, 2024 10.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Manuel Monaco 26'
Juan Manuel Insaurralde 44'

Javier Vallejo 28'
Felipe Loyola 31'
Ivan Marcone 90'+3'

Jun 10, 2023 12.00am

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Libertadores de America

Matias Gimenez Rojas 38'
Matias Gimenez Rojas 38'
Matias Gimenez Rojas 52'
Matias Gimenez Rojas 52'

Sep 12, 2022 9.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Nicolas Femia 49'

Leandro Fernandez 75'
Leandro Fernandez 77'

Oct 21, 2021 11.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Lucas Romero 6'
Alan Velasco 43'

Luciano Gondou 32'
Federico Bravo 41'
Lautaro Montoya 71'

Mar 16, 2021 12.30am

6

0

HT : 4 0

FT Estadio Libertadores de AmÃ©rica

Sebastian Palacios 10'
Silvio Romero 36'
Jonathan Menendez 39'
Jonathan Menendez 45'
Sebastian Palacios 56'
Silvio Romero 58'

Gabriel Alanis 29'
Jonathan Torres 40'

Form Data

Boca Juniors 0 - 0 Independiente

Independiente 2 - 1 Tucuman

Independiente 2 - 0 C. Cordoba

Newell's OB 2 - 1 Independiente

Independiente 1 - 0 Gimnasia

Huracan 1 - 0 Independiente

Banfield 1 - 1 Sarmiento

Sarmiento 1 - 1 Defensa

Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Sarmiento

Sarmiento 1 - 0 Platense

Talleres 2 - 0 Sarmiento

Sarmiento 0 - 2 Boca Juniors