MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 13:15:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jan 24, 2025 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Sarmiento

Independiente
2 - 1
Sarmiento

Avalos (15' pen., 48')
Cabral (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Magnin (77' pen.)
Guiacobini (34'), Orihuela (39'), Gho (50'), Garcia (65'), Paradela (88')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Independiente
Saturday, December 14 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, December 14 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.06%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
56.38% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 27.31% (0.012 0.01) 16.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 35% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)66.71% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.93% (-0.023 -0.02)85.07% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)58.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.23% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)53.77% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)87.13% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 56.37%
    Sarmiento 16.31%
    Draw 27.3%
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 18.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.07%
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 56.37%
0-0 @ 13.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.56% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.31%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 20
Sarmiento
0-0
Independiente
Monaco (26'), Manuel Insaurralde (44')
Vallejo (28'), Loyola (31'), Marcone (90+3')
Jun 10, 2023 12am
Gameweek 20
Independiente
2-0
Sarmiento
Gimenez Rojas (38', 52')

Martinez Rojas (79'), Toledo (85')
Mainero (82')
Sep 12, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 19
Sarmiento
1-2
Independiente
Femia (49')
Fernandez (75', 77')
Oct 21, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
Sarmiento
Romero (6')
Velasco (43')
Gondou (32')
Bravo (41'), Montoya (71')
Mar 16, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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