Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1

Jan 24, 2025 at 10.15pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
2 - 1
Sarmiento

Avalos (15' pen., 48')
Cabral (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Magnin (77' pen.)
Guiacobini (34'), Orihuela (39'), Gho (50'), Garcia (65'), Paradela (88')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Independiente
Saturday, December 14 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: Banfield 1-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, December 14 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.06%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Sarmiento
56.38% ( -0.01)	27.31% ( 0.01)	16.31% ( -0)

Both teams to score 35% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.29% (

-0.04)

66.71% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.93% (

-0.02)

85.07% (

0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

-0.02)

24.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

-0.03)

58.67% (

0.03)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.23% (

-0.03)

53.77% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.87% (

-0.02)

87.13% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Independiente 56.37%

Sarmiento 16.31%

Draw 27.3%

Independiente	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 18.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 13.07% 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 56.37%	0-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.31%