Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2025 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Independiente

River Plate
2 - 0
Independiente

Colidio (51', 90+2')
Driussi (73'), Martinez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vera (37'), Marcone (65')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 2 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Gimnasia
Monday, February 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawIndependiente
59.43% (-0.27 -0.27)22.97% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)17.61% (0.315 0.32)
Both teams to score 47.73% (0.705 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (0.633 0.63)50.93% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (0.556 0.56)72.8% (-0.553 -0.55)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (0.13000000000001 0.13)16.8% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.23% (0.23099999999999 0.23)46.77% (-0.23 -0.23)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (0.76 0.76)42.63% (-0.758 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (0.64 0.64)78.98% (-0.63900000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 59.42%
    Independiente 17.61%
    Draw 22.96%
River PlateDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.77% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.61%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 13
Independiente
0-0
River Plate
Marcone (33'), Loyola (45'), Segovia (76'), Tarzia (90+6')
Lopez (12')
Pezzella (11'), Bustos (33'), Fonseca (54'), Lanzini (76'), Diaz (78'), Acuna (90+3')
Mar 9, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 10
Independiente
1-1
River Plate
Avalos (38')
Laso (31'), Marcone (71'), Rey (86')
Marcone (90+2')
Borja (23')
Gonzalez Pirez (61'), Borja (85')
Oct 26, 2023 1am
Gameweek 10
River Plate
3-0
Independiente
Borja (36', 59'), Solari (84')
Aliendro (28'), Perez (45+1'), Lanzini (80')

Gimenez Rojas (31'), Canelo (45+1'), Marcone (56')
Apr 24, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 13
River Plate
2-0
Independiente
Aug 7, 2022 9.30pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
0-1
River Plate

Cazares (90+2')
Suarez (90+2')
Solari (30'), Armani (63')
rhs 2.0


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