Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 3, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Gabriel Avalos 9' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 9' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 54' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Avalos 54' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 81' goal
  • Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 81' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 87' yellowcard
  • Pablo Galdames 87' yellowcard
  • redcard Santiago Villarreal 84'
  • redcard Santiago Villarreal 84'

Independiente vs Gimnasia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 29, 2025 8.00pm
Talleres 2 - 3 Independiente
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Gimnasia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 29, 2025 8.00pm
Gimnasia 0 - 2 San Lorenzo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Rodrigo Castillo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 49.98% (-0.21)
Draw 29.19% (-0.27)
Gimnasia 20.82% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.92% (+1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.24% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 67.76% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 14.22% (+0.66)
Under 3.5 85.77% (-0.67)
Over 4.5 5.23% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 94.76% (-0.33)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 72.22% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 27.78% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 36.64% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 63.36% (-0.51)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5 51.12% (+1.14)
Under 0.5 48.88% (-1.14)
Over 1.5 16.13% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 83.87% (-0.81)

Score analysis

Independiente 49.97%
Draw 29.17%
Gimnasia 20.82%
Independiente
1-0 @ 17.39% (-0.47)
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 7.97% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.22% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.09% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 49.97%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.57% (-0.52)
1-1 @ 12.44% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 2.85% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 29.17%
Gimnasia
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.46% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 3.48% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-97.84)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 20.82%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Nov 21, 2024 10.15pm
1
0
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Felipe Loyola 22' yellowcard
  • Damian Perez 24' yellowcard
  • Jose Sosa 30' goal
  • Lucas Gonzalez 31' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Laso 42' goal
  • Santiago Gabriel Montiel 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rey 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santino Primante 41'
  • goal Leandro Campaz 44'
  • yellowcard Franco Troyansky 71'
  • yellowcard Manuel Panaro 80'
  • yellowcard Yonathan Cabral 88'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 3, 2024 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Lucas Gonzalez 4' yellowcard
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 6' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Costa 41' yellowcard
  • Javier Ruiz 71' redcard
  • Joaquin Laso 71' yellowcard
  • Felipe Aguilar 89' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Saravia 27'
  • yellowcard Juan Pintado 42'
  • yellowcard Federico Milo 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Castro 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Pablo de Blasis 64'
  • yellowcard Franco Troyansky 90'+3'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
  • Luciano Gomez 53' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Laso 90'+4' goal
  • goal Mauricio Isla 8'
  • yellowcard Cristian Baez 20'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 45'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 60'
  • goal Matias Gimenez Rojas 88'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
  • Benjamin Dominguez 90'+5' goal
  • goal Brian Martinez 54'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 17
Sep 4, 2022 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Brahian Aleman 21' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Dominguez 34' goal
  • Oscar Piris 44' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Morales 51' goal
  • Leonardo Morales 52' goal
  • Leandro Contin 56' goal
  • Leandro Contin 56' yellowcard
  • Leandro Contin 57' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Fernandez 12'
  • yellowcard Edgarl Elizalde 50'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 71'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 90'+4'
Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 11, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Domingo Blanco 37' yellowcard
  • Silvio Romero 45'+3' goal
  • Sergio Barreto 69' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Laso 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Costa 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Johan Carbonero 45'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Cecchini 48'
  • yellowcard Matias Melluso 71'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Coronel 89'