Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 9.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.54%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.