Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.48%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.79%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.