Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.