Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.59%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
43.01% ( -0.11)	30.36% ( 0.04)	26.63% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 38.94% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.21% (

-0.08)

67.79% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.21% (

-0.05)

85.79% (

0.05)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

-0.1)

31.51% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1% (

-0.12)

67.9% (

0.12)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.86% (

0.02)

43.14% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.59% (

0.02)

79.41% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Independiente 43%

Velez Sarsfield 26.62%

Draw 30.35%

Independiente	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.69% 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43%	0-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 13.19% 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.35%	0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.62%