Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 12, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Gabriel Avalos 31' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 43' goal
  • Kevin Lomonaco 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Santiago Gabriel Montiel 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cabral 78' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Cavanagh 54'
  • yellowcard Elias Gomez 83'

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 11.15pm
River Plate 2 - 0 Independiente
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 9.00pm
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 San Lorenzo
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Braian Romero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.59%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 43.01% (-0.11)
Draw 30.36% (+0.04)
Velez Sarsfield 26.63% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.94% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.21% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 67.79% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 14.21% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 85.79% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 5.23% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 94.78% (+0.03)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 68.49% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 31.51% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 32.1% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 67.9% (+0.12)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 56.86% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 43.14% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 20.59% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.41% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Independiente 43%
Draw 30.35%
Velez Sarsfield 26.62%
Independiente
1-0 @ 15.69%
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.59% (+0.04)
1-1 @ 13.19%
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.35%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 11.42% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.8% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.62%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
May 27, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Joaquin Laso 48' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Laso 48' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 67' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 68' yellowcard
  • Santiago Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Santiago Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Claudio Aquino 32'
  • goal Claudio Aquino 32'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 62'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 62'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 67'
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 68'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jan 31, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
  • goal Joaquin Laso 27'
  • goal Joaquin Laso 27'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 60'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 60'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Cristian Baez 19' yellowcard
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 51' goal
  • Joaquin Laso 87' yellowcard
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 90'+5' goal
  • Ivan Marcone 90'+13' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rey 90'+13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 13'
  • redcard Sebastian Mendez 14'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Gianetti 56'
  • goal Santiago Castro 83'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Abiel Osorio 90'+8'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Aug 28, 2022 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alan Sonora 12' goal
  • Edgarl Elizalde 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 13'
  • yellowcard Miguel Brizuela 85'
  • goal Lucas Pratto 90'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 20, 2022 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Matias de los Santos 40' redcard
  • Francisco Ortega 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Santiago Caseres 59' yellowcard
  • Julian Fernandez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 45'+4'
  • redcard Joaquin Laso 64'
  • yellowcard Gaston Togni 90'+1'