Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.78%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood.