Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Feb 8, 2025 at 9pm UK

Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 0
San Lorenzo

Quiroz (37'), Ordonez (59'), Baeza (87')

Irala (21'), de Jesus Baez Sotelo (45+1'), de Jesus Baez Sotelo (45+1'), Vombergar (60'), Andres Peralta Gonzalez (90+1')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Instituto 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, February 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 2 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.78%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	San Lorenzo
46.97% ( 0.04)	31.11% ( 0.15)	21.92% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 34.14% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.18% (

-0.47)

71.82% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.63% (

-0.29)

88.37% (

0.28)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-0.23)

31.43% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-0.26)

67.81% (

0.26)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.79% (

-0.5)

50.21% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.2% (

-0.35)

84.8% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 46.96%

San Lorenzo 21.91%

Draw 31.1%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 18.26% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.83% Total : 46.96%	0-0 @ 15.78% ( 0.27) 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 31.1%	0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.91%