Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 14.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.85%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.