Brasileiro | Gameweek 2
Apr 6, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
Fortaleza

Mirassol
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Renato Goncalves Riquelme (90+3')
Clayson (45'), Renato Goncalves Riquelme (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (15')
Martinez (18'), Mancuso (45+1'), Fernandez (89')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Mirassol and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Mirassol
Saturday, March 29 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-3 Racing
Wednesday, April 2 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Mirassol had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Mirassol win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
MirassolDrawFortaleza
31.59% (-1.303 -1.3)27.44% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)40.97% (1.342 1.34)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.27% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)56.73% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.32% (-0.128 -0.13)77.68% (0.13 0.13)
Mirassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (-0.986 -0.99)33.04% (0.988 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (-1.108 -1.11)69.63% (1.11 1.11)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (0.66800000000001 0.67)27.21% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (0.86 0.86)62.63% (-0.858 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Mirassol 31.59%
    Fortaleza 40.97%
    Draw 27.43%
MirassolDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 11.7% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 7.61% (0.325 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.201 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.97%

rhs 2.0


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