Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Mirassol had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Mirassol win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.