Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano
Fortaleza

Colo-Colo
A-A
Fortaleza

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Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Atlético Bucaramanga 3-3 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, April 2 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Mirassol 1-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%).

Result
Colo-ColoDrawFortaleza
43.13% (0.222 0.22)26.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)30.15% (-0.208 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)54.5% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)25.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (0.128 0.13)59.73% (-0.123 -0.12)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (-0.172 -0.17)32.91% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-0.194 -0.19)69.49% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 43.12%
    Fortaleza 30.15%
    Draw 26.72%
Colo-ColoDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.12%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.15%

Head to Head
May 25, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Colo-Colo
3-4
Fortaleza
Ceballos (45+1' og.), Pavez (65'), Gil (80')
Suazo (40'), Gutierrez (81'), Falcon (90+2')
Alejandro Rojas Orellana (51')
Romero (3'), Moises (25', 54'), Pikachu (61')
Ronald (45+4'), Felipe (58'), Lima (66'), Welison (79'), Robson (90+2'), Ceballos (90+5')
Apr 7, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Fortaleza
1-2
Colo-Colo
Kayzer (70')
Titi (53'), Lima (56'), Moises (65'), Welison (66')
Martin Lucero (38'), Solari (49')
Cortes (65'), Costa (68'), Suazo (88'), Amor (90+1')
Amor (90+2')
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