Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
1 - 0
Junior

Tomas Pizarro Durcudoy (76', 76')
Palacios (3'), Palacios (3'), Bolados (23'), Bolados (23'), Wiemberg (69'), Wiemberg (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Colorado (4'), Colorado (4'), Herrera (19'), Herrera (19'), Fuentes (23'), Fuentes (23'), Enamorado (45+2'), Enamorado (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Colo-Colo and Atletico Junior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Junior

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Junior 0-0 Botafogo
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawAtletico Junior
56.4% (-0.064 -0.06)24.88% (0.023 0.02)18.72% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.42% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)56.57% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45% (-0.029 -0.03)77.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)20.02% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)52.22% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)44.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.63% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 56.39%
    Atletico Junior 18.72%
    Draw 24.88%
Colo-ColoDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 14.36%
2-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 56.39%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 18.72%

How you voted: Colo-Colo vs Junior

Colo-Colo
70.6%
Draw
23.5%
Atletico Junior
5.9%
17