Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.