Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Sep 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 0
Colo-Colo

(River Plate win 2-1 on aggregate)

Colidio (16', 16')
Acuna (54'), Acuna (54'), Armani (71'), Armani (71'), Fernandez (83'), Fernandez (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Palacios (44'), Palacios (44'), Vidal (54'), Vidal (54'), Paiva (90+2'), Amor (90'), Paiva (90+2'), Amor (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Colo-Colo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Colo-Colo

All competitions

Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-1 River Plate
Wednesday, September 18 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Colo-Colo
59.87% ( -0.01)	21.27% ( 0)	18.85% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.18% (

-0.02)

41.81% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.78% (

-0.01)

64.22% (

0.01)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.41% (

-0.01)

13.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.3% (

-0.01)

40.69% (

0.01)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.15% (

-0.01)

35.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.38% (

-0)

72.62% (

Score Analysis

River Plate 59.87%

Colo-Colo 18.85%

Draw 21.27%

River Plate	Draw	Colo-Colo
2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 59.87%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 18.85%