Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior
1 - 2
Colo-Colo

Bacca (45+1', 45+1')
Olivera (89'), Olivera (89')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Cepeda (43', 43'), Falcon (74', 74')
Cortes (37'), Cortes (37'), Pavez (68'), Pavez (68'), Tomas Pizarro Durcudoy (81'), Tomas Pizarro Durcudoy (81'), Almiron (89'), Almiron (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Junior and Colo-Colo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Junior
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Junior
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colo-Colo would win this match.

Result
Atletico Junior	Draw	Colo-Colo
34.66% ( -0.09)	27.57% ( -0.02)	37.77% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 49.03% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.31% (

0.05)

56.68% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35% (

0.04)

77.64% (

-0.05)

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06% (

-0.04)

30.93% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77% (

-0.04)

67.23% (

0.04)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

0.09)

29.01% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09% (

0.11)

64.91% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Atletico Junior 34.65%

Colo-Colo 37.76%

Draw 27.57%

Atletico Junior	Draw	Colo-Colo
1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.65%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.76%