Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Sep 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
1 - 1
River Plate

Palacios (61', 61')
Saldivia (34'), Saldivia (34'), Wiemberg (69'), Wiemberg (69'), Cortes (76'), Cortes (76'), Falcon (89'), Falcon (89'), Castellani (90+7'), Castellani (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pezzella (43', 43')
Armani (38'), Armani (38'), Borja (73'), Borja (73'), Diaz (89'), Diaz (89')
Diaz (90'), Diaz (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Colo-Colo and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Junior 1-2 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

River Plate

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: River Plate 4-1 Tucuman
Saturday, September 14 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Colo-Colo	Draw	River Plate
30.48% ( 0.03)	27.05% ( 0.01)	42.47% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.36% (

-0.04)

55.64% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2% (

-0.03)

76.79% (

0.03)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73% (

33.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.12% (

69.88%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09% (

-0.04)

25.9% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1% (

-0.05)

60.9% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Colo-Colo 30.48%

River Plate 42.47%

Draw 27.05%

Colo-Colo	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.48%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.47%