Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.