Atletico Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
4 - 0
Deportes Iquique

Rony (1', 1'), Hulk (11' pen., 11' pen.), Natanael (35', 35'), Scarpa (66' pen., 66' pen.)
Natanael (23'), Natanael (23'), Scarpa (58'), Scarpa (58')
FT(HT: 6-0)

Moya (20'), Moya (20'), Saborit (39'), Saborit (39'), Santiago Ariel Hoyos (86'), Santiago Ariel Hoyos (86')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Deportes Iquique.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, April 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Deportes Iquique

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportes Iquique 1-2 Caracas
Tuesday, April 1 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 72.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Deportes Iquique had a probability of 10.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Deportes Iquique win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawDeportes Iquique
72.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)10.16% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.71% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.16% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.83% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)34.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Deportes Iquique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)49.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.43% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)84.56% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 72.24%
    Deportes Iquique 10.16%
    Draw 17.59%
Atletico MineiroDrawDeportes Iquique
2-0 @ 13.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12%
3-0 @ 9.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88%
4-0 @ 5.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
6-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 72.24%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.59%
0-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 10.16%