Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 1, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Tierra de Campeones

Deportes Iquique
1 - 2
Caracas

Puch (4' pen., 4' pen.)
Puch (36'), Andres Parraguez Herrera (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Echenique (33'), Aguilar (37')
La Mantia (3'), Heraldez Sevillano (76'), Echenique (88'), Celestino Tegues Hernandez (90+5'), Celestino Tegues Hernandez (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportes Iquique and Caracas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Iquique

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Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Deportes Iquique
Tuesday, March 11 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Caracas

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Last Game: Deportivo 0-2 Caracas
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Iquique win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Iquique win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Caracas win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Deportes IquiqueDrawCaracas
43.23% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)26.21%30.56% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)52.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74%
Deportes Iquique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.03% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.0049999999999955 0)31.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Deportes Iquique 43.22%
    Caracas 30.56%
    Draw 26.2%
Deportes IquiqueDrawCaracas
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.22%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.56%