Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nacional Brigido Iriarte

Deportivo
0 - 2
Caracas


Luis Perdomo (42'), Luis Perdomo (42'), Gutierrez (85'), Gutierrez (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Echenique (23', 23', 56', 56')
Mago (28'), Mago (28'), Aguilar (65'), Aguilar (65')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportivo La Guaira and Caracas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo La Guaira

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Deportivo
Saturday, August 3 at 9pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Caracas

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 4-0 Caracas
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Caracas win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo La GuairaDrawCaracas
41.25% (-0.067 -0.07)26.94% (0.086000000000002 0.09)31.81% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.3% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (-0.328 -0.33)54.79% (0.331 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (-0.272 -0.27)76.09% (0.274 0.27)
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (-0.185 -0.19)26.16% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (-0.25 -0.25)61.24% (0.253 0.25)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.178 -0.18)31.88% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (-0.205 -0.2)68.32% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo La Guaira 41.24%
    Caracas 31.81%
    Draw 26.94%
Deportivo La GuairaDrawCaracas
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.81%