Brasileiro | Gameweek 3

Apr 12, 2025 at 10.30pm UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
2 - 0
Corinthians

Piquerez (14'), Martinez (19')
Rios (22'), Weverton (27'), Martinez (31'), Gomez (38'), Fuchs (45+3'), Micael (56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramalho (4'), Andres Martinez (23'), Depay (27'), Alberto (27'), Matheuzinho (67')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: America 1-1 Corinthians
Wednesday, April 9 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Corinthians
60.48% ( 0.15)	22.99% ( -0.06)	16.53% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 45.61% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.34% (

0.08)

52.67% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.69% (

0.07)

74.31% (

-0.07)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

0.08)

17.05% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.79% (

0.14)

47.21% (

-0.14)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.99% (

-0.07)

45.01% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.06% (

-0.05)

80.95% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 60.46%

Corinthians 16.53%

Draw 22.99%

Palmeiras	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 60.46%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 16.53%