Brasileiro | Gameweek 1

Mar 31, 2025 at 12am UK

Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
1 - 1
Corinthians

Gilberto (45+1', 45+1')
Ribeiro (43'), Ribeiro (43'), Lucas (63'), Lucas (63'), Xavier (73'), Xavier (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (90', 90')
Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues (62'), Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues (62'), Bidon (85'), Bidon (85')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Boston River
Friday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Corinthians 2-0 Barcelona
Thursday, March 13 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Corinthians
63.69% ( 0.68)	21.64% ( -0.18)	14.67% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 45.52% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

-0.23)

50.57% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

-0.2)

72.49% (

0.2)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

0.15)

15.24% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08% (

0.27)

43.92% (

-0.27)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.7% (

-0.85)

46.3% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.05% (

-0.67)

81.95% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Bahia 63.68%

Corinthians 14.67%

Draw 21.63%

Bahia	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 63.68%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.63%	0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.25% Total : 14.67%