Boston River logo
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Bahia

Boston River
0 - 0
Bahia

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Boston River and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nublense 1-1 Boston River
Wednesday, February 26 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bahia 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, February 26 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Boston RiverDrawBahia
18.2% (0.149 0.15)23.72% (0.016000000000002 0.02)58.08% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.62% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (0.143 0.14)52.99% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.122 0.12)74.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.86% (0.26 0.26)43.13% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.6% (0.218 0.22)79.4% (-0.218 -0.22)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.02% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)48.9% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 18.2%
    Bahia 58.08%
    Draw 23.72%
Boston RiverDrawBahia
1-0 @ 6.54% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.71% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.75% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.2%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 13.32% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 11.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.52% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-4 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 58.08%

rhs 2.0


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