Boston River logo
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 19, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Nublense

Boston River
1 - 0
Nublense

Gutierrez (77' pen.)
Martinez (24'), Gonzalez (43'), Amado (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sosa (20')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Boston River and Nublense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Boston River
Saturday, February 15 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nublense

Last Game: LDU Quito 2-3 Nublense (4-3 pen.)
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Nublense win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston River in this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawNublense
38.57% (0.044000000000004 0.04)28.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)33.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.33% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28% (0.13800000000001 0.14)58.72% (-0.145 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (0.107 0.11)79.25% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (0.093000000000004 0.09)29.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45% (0.116 0.12)65.55% (-0.122 -0.12)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (0.065000000000012 0.07)32.84% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (0.073 0.07)69.4% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 38.56%
    Nublense 33.35%
    Draw 28.07%
Boston RiverDrawNublense
1-0 @ 11.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.35%

How you voted: Boston River vs Nublense

Boston River
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Nublense
33.3%
6