Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
2 - 0
Atletico GO

Thaciano (41'), Rodriguez (58' pen.)
Adriel (59'), Acevedo (74'), Yago (90+2'), Stum (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Freitas (40')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Atletico Goianiense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Bahia
Tuesday, December 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Atletico Goianiense

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico GO 3-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, December 5 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawAtletico Goianiense
61.11% (-0.345 -0.34)21.77% (0.069999999999997 0.07)17.12% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.45% (0.338 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (0.161 0.16)46.8% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (0.152 0.15)69.05% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.18% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)14.82% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.88% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)43.12% (0.103 0.1)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (0.434 0.43)40.77% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (0.386 0.39)77.35% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 61.1%
    Atletico Goianiense 17.12%
    Draw 21.77%
BahiaDrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 11.01% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 61.1%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.42% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 17.12%

Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 19
Atletico GO
1-1
Bahia
Fernando (60')
Freitas (35'), Cruz (45+3'), Vinicius (82'), Ananias Silva (88')
Vinicius (90+8'), Romao (90+11'), Rodriguez (90+11')
Lucas (90+9')
Stum (37'), Cuesta (39'), Rezende (76'), Lucas (90+11')
> Preview
Nov 29, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico GO
2-1
Bahia
Freitas (60' pen.), Janderson (90+5')
Eder (81'), Freitas (83'), Baralhas (89'), Toro (90+5'), Janderson (90+5')
Rodallega (71')
Mugni (54'), de Lucca (78'), Capixaba (83')
Capixaba (90+7')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 16
Bahia
1-2
Atletico GO
Gilberto (26')
Danielzinho (54'), Conti (85')
Roberto (55'), Paulo (61')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 29
Atletico GO
1-1
Bahia
Pereira (7')
Pereira (18'), Nicolas (90+4')
Novaes (75')
Sep 13, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 10
Bahia
0-1
Atletico GO

Danielzinho (82'), Rossi (90+1')
Juninho (90+1')
Jean (40')
Victor (27'), Hyuri (88')