Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 9.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.