Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 26, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
3 - 0
The Strongest

Rodriguez (41' pen., 41' pen.), Ademir (48', 48', 63', 63')
Kanu (34'), Kanu (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arrascaita (3'), Arrascaita (3'), Alejandro Chiatti (38'), Alejandro Chiatti (38'), Supayabe (42'), Supayabe (42')
Jusino (45'), Jusino (45')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Bahia and The Strongest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: The Strongest 1-1 Bahia
Wednesday, February 19 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

The Strongest

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: The Strongest 1-1 Bahia
Wednesday, February 19 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 9.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	The Strongest
73.81% ( -0.18)	16.84% ( 0.2)	9.35% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 44.03% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.72% (

-0.99)

43.28% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.33% (

-0.98)

65.67% (

0.99)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.81% (

-0.3)

10.19% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.54% (

-0.7)

33.46% (

0.7)

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.02% (

-0.7)

50.98% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.67% (

-0.47)

85.32% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Bahia 73.8%

The Strongest 9.35%

Draw 16.84%

Bahia	Draw	The Strongest
2-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 73.8%	1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.58% Total : 16.84%	0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 9.35%