Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 19, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Bahia

The Strongest
1 - 1
Bahia

Guerrero (38', 38')
Jusino (60'), Jusino (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jose (69', 69')
Ademir (18'), Ademir (18'), Alexandre (90+1'), Alexandre (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between The Strongest and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

The Strongest

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: The Strongest 1-0 Penarol
Wednesday, August 21 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, December 8 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
The StrongestDrawBahia
51.6% (-0.777 -0.78)23.5% (0.311 0.31)24.9% (0.464 0.46)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (-0.955 -0.95)44.41% (0.95399999999999 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (-0.933 -0.93)66.78% (0.931 0.93)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (-0.63799999999999 -0.64)17.24% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45% (-1.128 -1.13)47.55% (1.125 1.13)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)31.65% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (-0.153 -0.15)68.07% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 51.6%
    Bahia 24.9%
    Draw 23.49%
The StrongestDrawBahia
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 51.6%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.222 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.9%