Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg

Mar 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
3 - 0
Corinthians

(Barcelona SC win 3-2 on aggregate)

Corozo (45+2' pen., 45+2' pen., 84', 84'), Rivero (80', 80')
Leonai (56'), Leonai (56'), Corozo (83'), Corozo (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Torres (31'), Torres (31'), Souza (42'), Souza (42'), Hugo (77'), Hugo (77'), Henrique (89'), Henrique (89')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Barcelona SC and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 El Nacional
Thursday, February 27 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 UCV
Thursday, February 27 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SC	Draw	Corinthians
39.61% ( -0.17)	26.91% ( 0.04)	33.48% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 50.87% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72% (

-0.14)

54.27% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33% (

-0.11)

75.67% (

0.11)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

-0.16)

26.81% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

-0.21)

62.1% (

0.2)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

0.02)

30.49% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

0.02)

66.71% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Barcelona SC 39.61%

Corinthians 33.48%

Draw 26.91%

Barcelona SC	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.61%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.48%