Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 27, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
3 - 2
UCV

Alberto (3', 3', 89', 89'), Bidu (40', 40')
Alberto (29'), Alberto (29'), Andres Martinez (67'), Andres Martinez (67'), Garro (90+4'), Garro (90+4')

FT(HT: 4-4)

Manuel Cuesta (6', 6'), Martinez (45+1', 45+1')
Silva (31'), Silva (31'), Zapata (37'), Zapata (37'), Cumana (63'), Cumana (63'), Sosa (67'), Sosa (67')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Corinthians and UCV.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: UCV 1-1 Corinthians
Thursday, February 20 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

UCV

All competitions

Last Game: UCV 1-1 Corinthians
Thursday, February 20 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for UCV had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a UCV win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	UCV
69.98% ( -0.25)	18.62% ( 0.08)	11.4% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 45.68% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.74% (

0.06)

45.26% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4% (

0.05)

67.6% (

-0.05)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.26% (

-0.05)

11.74% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.12% (

-0.11)

36.88% (

0.11)

UCV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.75% (

0.33)

48.25% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.59% (

0.24)

83.41% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 69.98%

UCV 11.4%

Draw 18.62%

Corinthians	Draw	UCV
2-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 69.98%	1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.62%	0-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 11.4%