Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg

Feb 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

UCV
1 - 1
Corinthians

(Corinthians win 4-3 on aggregate)

Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues (75' og., 75' og.)
Ortiz (19'), Ortiz (19'), Granko (30'), Granko (30')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Carrillo (36', 36')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between UCV and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Last Game: Gremio 0-3 Corinthians
Sunday, December 8 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for UCV had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest UCV win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
UCV	Draw	Corinthians
28.76% ( 1.1)	28.63% ( 0.37)	42.61% ( -1.46)

Both teams to score 44.25% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.19% (

-0.76)

61.81% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.4% (

-0.56)

81.6% (

0.56)

UCV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.1% (

0.48)

37.91% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.32% (

0.46)

74.68% (

-0.46)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

-1.15)

28.74% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43% (

-1.46)

64.57% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

UCV 28.75%

Corinthians 42.61%

Draw 28.62%

UCV	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.75%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 13.58% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.59% Total : 42.61%