Copa Libertadores
Feb 27, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
  • Mario Pineida 10' redcard
  • Mario Pineida 10' redcard
  • Octavio Rivero 68' goal
  • Octavio Rivero 68' goal
  • yellowcard Charles Velez 18'
  • yellowcard Charles Velez 18'
  • yellowcard Marcos David Olmedo Garrido 41'
  • yellowcard Marcos David Olmedo Garrido 41'
  • goal Angel Alexander Ledesma Felix 45'+9'
  • goal Angel Alexander Ledesma Felix 45'+9'

Barcelona SC vs El Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 20, 2025 12.30am
El Nacional 0 - 1 Barcelona

El Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 20, 2025 12.30am
El Nacional 0 - 1 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for El Nacional had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a El Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Barcelona SC 62.96% (+0.11)
Draw 21.07% (+0.01)
El Nacional 15.98% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.2% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 45.8% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 31.88% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 68.12% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 15.99% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 84.01% (+0.13)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5 86.08% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 13.93% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 58.63% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 41.38% (+0.06)

El Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 58.39% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 41.62% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 21.9% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 78.1% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Barcelona SC 62.95%
Draw 21.06%
El Nacional 15.98%
Barcelona SC
1-0 @ 11.42% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 11.26% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.4% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.65% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 62.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 5.8% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.06%
El Nacional
0-1 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 15.98%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Feb 20, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
  • Franklin Carabali 3' yellowcard
  • Franklin Carabali 3' yellowcard
  • Rommel Andres Cabezas Briones 62' yellowcard
  • Rommel Andres Cabezas Briones 62' yellowcard
  • Jose Ignacio Flor Blanco 75' yellowcard
  • Jose Ignacio Flor Blanco 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dixon Arroyo 43'
  • yellowcard Dixon Arroyo 43'
  • goal Charles Velez 78' (OG)
  • goal Charles Velez 78' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mario Pineida 90'
  • yellowcard Mario Pineida 90'