Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 27, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
1 - 1
El Nacional

Rivero (68', 68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Alexander Ledesma Felix (45+9' pen., 45+9' pen.)
Velez (18'), Velez (18'), David Olmedo Garrido (41'), David Olmedo Garrido (41')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Barcelona SC and El Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

Last Game: El Nacional 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, February 20 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

El Nacional

Last Game: El Nacional 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, February 20 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for El Nacional had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a El Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona SC	Draw	El Nacional
62.96% ( 0.1)	21.07% ( 0)	15.98% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.2% (

-0.17)

45.8% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.88% (

-0.17)

68.12% (

0.17)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.08% (

-0.02)

13.93% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.63% (

-0.05)

41.38% (

0.06)

El Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.39% (

-0.23)

41.62% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.9% (

-0.2)

78.1% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Barcelona SC 62.95%

El Nacional 15.98%

Draw 21.06%

Barcelona SC	Draw	El Nacional
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.95%	1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.06%	0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.98%