Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for El Nacional had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a El Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.