Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 7, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Ramon Aguilera Costas

Blooming
3 - 2
El Nacional

Garzon (16', 16'), Villarroel (21', 21'), Alaniz (37', 37')
Acosta (13'), Acosta (13'), Enoumba (90+1'), Enoumba (90+1')
FT(HT: 6-2)
Fabian Guisamano Camacho (28', 28'), Alexander Ledesma Felix (87', 87')
Bedoya (62'), Bedoya (62'), Montano (81'), Montano (81')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Blooming and El Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blooming

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Last Game: Santos 0-0 Blooming
Thursday, June 29 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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El Nacional

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Last Game: El Nacional 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, February 29 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blooming win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for El Nacional had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blooming win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a El Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blooming would win this match.

Result
BloomingDrawEl Nacional
51.1% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)24.63% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)24.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.83% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Blooming Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)19.5% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)51.37% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
El Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (0.031000000000006 0.03)35.14% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (0.035 0.04)71.89% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blooming 51.1%
    El Nacional 24.26%
    Draw 24.63%
BloomingDrawEl Nacional
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 51.1%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.26%

rhs 2.0


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